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Dick's Sporting Goods (Dick's Sporting Goods) Probability of Financial Distress (%) : 0.02% (As of Apr. 27, 2024)


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What is Dick's Sporting Goods Probability of Financial Distress (%)?

Probability of Financial Distress (%) measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt in the upcoming year given its current financial position. A higher ratio indicates a larger probability of bankruptcy for the company, while a lower ratio indicates a healthier fundamental. As of today, Dick's Sporting Goods's Probability of Financial Distress (%) is 0.02%.

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Competitive Comparison of Dick's Sporting Goods's Probability of Financial Distress (%)

For the Specialty Retail subindustry, Dick's Sporting Goods's Probability of Financial Distress (%), along with its competitors' market caps and Probability of Financial Distress (%) data, can be viewed below:

* Competitive companies are chosen from companies within the same industry, with headquarter located in same country, with closest market capitalization; x-axis shows the market cap, and y-axis shows the term value; the bigger the dot, the larger the market cap. Note that "N/A" values will not show up in the chart.


Dick's Sporting Goods's Probability of Financial Distress (%) Distribution in the Retail - Cyclical Industry

For the Retail - Cyclical industry and Consumer Cyclical sector, Dick's Sporting Goods's Probability of Financial Distress (%) distribution charts can be found below:

* The bar in red indicates where Dick's Sporting Goods's Probability of Financial Distress (%) falls into.



Dick's Sporting Goods Probability of Financial Distress (%) Calculation

Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was developed by John Campbell, Jens Hilscher and Jan Szilagyi in their Search of Distress Risk. It measures the probability that a company will go bankrupt within the next 12 months given its current financial position.

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) was obtained by a logit probability model based on eight explanatory variables. The logit formula to compute the probability of financial distress (LPFD) is given below:

LPFD= -20.12 * NIMTAAVG + 1.60 * TLMTA - 7.88 * EXRETAVG + 1.55 * SIGMA - 0.005 * RSIZE - 2.27 * CASHMTA + 0.070 * MB - 0.09 * PRICE -8.87
=-8.56

The Probability of Financial Distress (%) (PFD) was then obtianed by:

PFD=1/(1 + e^(-LPFD))*100%
=0.02%

The eight explanatory variables are:

1. NIMTAAVG = Net Income to Market Total Assets

NIMTAAVG=Net Income / Market Total Assets
=Net Income / (Market Cap + Total Liabilities)

*Note that for companies reported quarterly, geometrically declining weighted quarterly Net Income data in latest four quarters are used.

2. TLMTA = Total liabilities to Market Total Assets

TLMTA=Total Liabilities / Market Total Assets

3. CASHMTA = Cash to Market Total Assets

For non-financial companies, CASHMTA is measured as:

CASHMTA=Cash, Cash Equivalents, Marketable Securities / Market Total Assets

4. EXRETAVG = Excess Return compared to the S&P 500

EXRETAVG is the weighted excess return compared to the S&P 500 in past 12 month. Geometrically declining weights are imposed on the monthly excess return to reflect lagged information. The weight is halved each quarter.

5. SIGMA = Standard Deviation of Daily Returns

For sigma, we use the annualized standard deviation of a company's returns over the past 92 days (or 63 trading days).

6. RSIZE = Relative Size

RSIZE=log (Market Cap / Total Market Cap of S&P 500 companies)

7. MB = Market to Adjusted Book Equity Ratio


8. PRICE

PRICE is measured as the log of the stock price, capped at log(15).


Dick's Sporting Goods  (NYSE:DKS) Probability of Financial Distress (%) Explanation

Like the Altman Z-Score, the PFD measures a company's bankruptcy risk in the upcoming year. However, the main drawback of the Z-score is it does not apply to banks and insurance companies. According to Investopedia, the concept of "working capital" does not apply to banks and insurance companies, as financial institutions do not have typical current assets or current liabilities like inventories or accounts payable.


Dick's Sporting Goods Probability of Financial Distress (%) Related Terms

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Dick's Sporting Goods (Dick's Sporting Goods) Business Description

Traded in Other Exchanges
Address
345 Court Street, Coraopolis, PA, USA, 15108
Dick's Sporting Goods retails athletic apparel, footwear, and equipment for sports. Dick's operates digital platforms, about 725 stores under its namesake brand (including outlet stores), and about 135 specialty stores under the Golf Galaxy, Moosejaw, and Public Lands nameplates. Dick's carries private-label merchandise and national brands such as Nike, The North Face, Under Armour, Callaway Golf, and TaylorMade. Based in the Pittsburgh area, Dick's was founded in 1948 by the father of current executive chairman and controlling shareholder Edward Stack.
Executives
Lawrence J Schorr director 200 PLAZA DRIVE, VESTAL NY 13850
Vladimir Rak officer: EVP, Chief Technology Officer 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15108
Julie Lodge-jarrett officer: SVP, Chief People Officer 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15108
Larry Jr. Fitzgerald director 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15108
Robert W. Eddy director 350 CAMPUS DRIVE, MARLBOROUGH MA 01752
William Colombo Trustee U/a Dtd 10/05/2020 Edward W Stack Non-grantor Trust 10 percent owner 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15108
William J Colombo director
Sandeep Mathrani director
Navdeep Gupta officer: See Remarks 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15108
Hayes John Edward Iii officer: SVP, General Counsel 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15108
Mark J Barrenechea director C/O SILICON GRAPHICS INTERNATIONAL CORP, 46600 LANDING PARKWAY, FREMONT CA 94538
Anne Fink director 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15108
Lauren R Hobart officer: SVP & Chief Marketing Officer 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15275
Edward W Stack director, 10 percent owner, officer: Chairman & CEO 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15108
Sliva Raymond A. Jr. officer: EVP, Stores 345 COURT STREET, CORAOPOLIS PA 15108